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Market update 30 Nov 2009    

Posted by: Editor     

 
Headlines:
•BoE's Adam Posen said it was too early to exit the central bank's easy monetary policy as Britain faces the risk of a double-dip economic downturn
•IMF's Strauss-Kahn, has urged policymakers to err “on the side of caution, as exiting too early is costlier than exiting too late”
•Australia's annual inflation jumps in Nov at its fastest pace in 7 months to 2.1% compared to 1.2% in October
•The UAE central bank said it would provide lenders with access to fresh liquidity and pledged to stand behind UAE banks and branches of foreign groups
 
Europe:
BoE's Adam Posen said it was too early to exit the central bank's easy monetary policy as Britain, along with the United States, faces the risk of a double-dip economic downturn.
 
FT has learnt that ECB will leave its main interest rate unchanged at 1%. However, expected policy tweaks will underline its determination to implement a timely “exit strategy” and return gradually to the level of stability in pre-crisis times. In doing so it will put itself at odds with the IMF, whose MD, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, has urged policymakers to err “on the side of caution, as exiting too early is costlier than exiting too late”.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/311896b8-dd0e-11de-ad60-00144feabdc0.html
 
Michael Spencer, the Conservative party treasurer, says he is “hopeful” that a Tory government would deliver a corporation tax cut even bigger than so far promised and axe the 50p top rate of income tax.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/28cd8302-dd1c-11de-ad60-00144feabdc0.html
 
 
European officials failed to persuade Beijing to begin strengthening its currency, despite talks between top officials ahead of  EU-China summit.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ae9f736a-dd07-11de-ad60-00144feabdc0.html
 
The EEF manufacturers' organisation reports suggests an easing of credit conditions for the first time in more than a year. Business leaders warn, however, that insolvencies could rise sharply in the next 12 months unless sufficient finance is available, especially for smaller companies.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/03201316-dd14-11de-ad60-00144feabdc0,s01=1.html

 
US:
The global economic rebound is becoming entrenched, led by the US and fast-emerging countries such as Brazil, according to a business survey published by KPMG . The report suggests economic activity will pick up considerably in the next 12 months but the recovery could be less marked in Europe and Japan, where manufacturers expect to continue shedding jobs over the next 12 months.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e92f3f24-dd02-11de-ad60-00144feabdc0.html
 
 
U.S. retail sales on Black Friday and the weekend after Thanksgiving advanced just 0.5%.  Spending rose to $41.2 billion from $41 billion a year earlier, in line with expectations.
 
Australia & New Zealand:
Australia's annual inflation jumped in November to the fastest pace in seven months, increasing pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates. Consumer prices rose 2.1% from a year earlier, after gaining 1.2% in October, according to an index compiled by TD Securities Ltd. and the Melbourne Institute.
 
Australian business profits fell at the slowest pace in four quarters as earnings at builders and manufacturers offset a drop at banks and retailers. Gross operating profits slipped 2.1% in the third quarter from the previous three months, when they declined a revised 7%, the Bureau of Statistics said.
 
Australia should enjoy a boom in its terms of trade for decades to come thanks in part to the rise of China and India as major trading partners, a member of the central bank's policy making board Warren McKibbin said.
   
Japan:
The head of Bank of Japan said the bank will act decisively in the event of renewed financial market turmoil, his strongest hint yet at fresh support for the economy that analysts say could involve buying more government bonds or a return to quantitative easing.  A government spokesman said QE will indeed be part of the talks when BOJ's Masaaki Shirakawa and Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama meet.
 
Asia and RoW:
The UAE central bank said it would provide lenders with access to fresh liquidity and pledged to stand behind UAE banks and branches of foreign groups. “The UAE banking system is more sound and liquid than a year ago,” a statement said in the first federal response.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e9334100-dca8-11de-ad60-00144feabdc0.html
 
India's economy expanded 7.9% last quarter, the fastest pace in 1 1/2 years, giving the central bank room to withdraw more stimulus to check inflation.
 
South Korean exports will return to double-digit growth in 2010 on the back of recovering global trade after posting their steepest decline in half a century this year, the Ministry of Knowledge Economy said. Overseas sales will grow 12.9% next year after a projected 13.9% loss this year, the ministry said in a statement.
 
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said he could nationalize private banks for refusing to lend to the poor and for failing to sufficiently aid in the country's development.
 


Tags: Market, Stock, Stocks, Update, News
  

Global Market Headlines 08 October    

Posted by: Editor     
 
Headlines:
• BoE will discuss QE extension at Nov MPC on concern the economy's recovery may be a “false dawn,” former Deputy Governor Gieve said. – Bloomberg
• UK DMO's Stheeman said issuance poses challenge but he is not worried
• Lloyds Banking Group is sounding out investors about a £15 bn rights issue to help it avoid a government scheme to insure it against credit losses  FT
• Australian employment surged past all expectations in September jumping 40,600(est. -10,000); jobless rate drops to 5.7% (Aug: 5.8%)again stunning analysts who had expected a rise to a six-year high of 6.0%
• Final estimate for U.S. budget deficit stands at $1400 bn in the fiscal year ended Sept. 30, less than Aug estimate of $1,580bn, congressional analysts said
 
Europe:
BoE will consider expanding their bond purchase plan when they review its progress in November on concern the economy's recovery may be a “false dawn,” former Deputy Governor John Gieve said. – Bloomberg reports
 
UK DMO's chief executive Stheeman said issuance poses challenge but he is not worried
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/profiles/robert-stheeman-so-whats-worrying-the-banker-in-charge-of-our-1631trn-debt-1799249.html
 
Lloyds Banking Group is sounding out investors about a 15 billion pound ($23.81 billion) rights issue to help it avoid a government scheme to insure it against credit losses, FT reported. Banking regulator FSA is scrutinising the plan, sources said, in a deal in which Lloyds would also sell assets such as insurance business Scottish Widows, and shrink its balance sheet.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/758c8710-b382-11de-ae8d-00144feab49a.html
 
The BoE looks set to keep monetary policy on hold when its monthly meeting ends later on Thursday, with rate-setters keen to wait until they have new economic forecasts in November, as per all 66 analysts in a Reuters poll
 
US:
A U.S. Senate Finance Committee health plan would cost $829bn and cut the budget deficit by $81 b over 10yrs, nonpartisan budget analysts said in a report that could bolster President Obama's healthcare reform drive. The preliminary estimate from the CBO also said the bill would reduce the number of uninsured people in the U.S. by about 29 million by 2019. – Reuters
 
U.S. consumer credit fell by $12bn or 5.8% at an annual rate, to $2.46 trillion, according to a Federal Reserve report. Credit dropped by $19 billion in July, less than previously estimated. The series of declines is the longest since 1991.
 
Final estimate for U.S. budget deficit stands at $1400 bn in the fiscal year ended Sept. 30, congressional analysts said. The deficit for fiscal 2008 was $459bn. The $1,400bn estimate is less than the budget office's estimate of $1,580bn issued in August, but the discrepancy arises from differences in calculating the costs of bailing out mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, not any sudden change in economic conditions, CBO said.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f18c2036-b3c9-11de-98ec-00144feab49a.html
 
President Obama met on Wednesday with the two top Democrats in Congress to discuss ways to spur the economy and reverse a climb in the U.S. unemployment rate, which is now at a 26-year-high. Tax cuts for businesses that hire new workers was one idea that came up in the White House meeting, according to a congressional source.
 
ConocoPhillips, the third-biggest oil company in the US, announced plans to sell $10bn worth of assets over the next two years and cut its 2010 capital spending by $1.5bn as it seeks to rebuild investor confidence.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/41739394-b394-11de-ae8d-00144feab49a.html
 
Australia and New Zealand: 
Australian employment surged past all expectations in September jumping 40,600, eclipsing forecasts of -10,000. The unemployment rate dipped to 5.7% (Au:5.8%)again stunning analysts who had expected a rise to a six-year high of 6.0%
 
Japan:
Japan's current-account surplus widened 10.4% to 1.171 trillion yen in August from a year earlier (est. 1.15 trillion yen), the Ministry of Finance said.
 
The number of Japanese corporate bankruptcies in September fell 18% from a year earlier to 1,115 cases, dropping below the 1,200 mark for the first time in over a year and a half, research firm Tokyo Shoko said.
 
Asia and RoW:
S. Korea released a set of upbeat data pointing to an accelerating recovery in Asia's fourth-largest economy. Exports to China rose 4.0% yoy in Sep, the first annual rise since Dec'08. Department store sales increased 8.5% yoy in Sep, the fastest pace since a 10.4% gain in Jan'09. Credit card usage during September rose 14.7% yoy, the highest annual growth since a 15.2% rise in Oct'08
 
S. Korean government is planning to sell $2 bn worth of sovereign bonds in foreign currencies next year, Yonhap news agency quoted the finance ministry as saying. S. Korea has sold $3bn in sovereign bonds abroad so far in 2009 out of a ceiling of $6bn.
 
Events (London Time):
JPN     07:00    Machine Tool Orders (Sep P)
FRA     07:30    Bank of France Bus Sentiment (Sep)
FRA     07:45    Trade Balance (Aug)
SWE    08:30    Activity Index Level (Aug)
SWE    08:30    Industrial Orders (Aug)
SWE    08:30    Industrial Production (Aug)
DEU    11:00    Industrial Production (Aug)
GBR    12:00    BOE rate announcement
EMU    12:45    ECB rate announcement
CAN    13:15    Housing Starts (Sep)
USA     13:30    Initial Jobless Claims
USA     15:00    Wholesale Inventories (Aug)        -1.0%
USA     16:00    ICSC Chain Store Sales (Sep)
NZL     22:45    NZ Card Spending (Sep)
 

Tags: Global, Market, Stocks, Stock, Headlines
  

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